I'm sure this will put an end to her romance with Peter MacKay (if it wasn't already over). This may mean that the vote of non-confidence will not pass on Thursday and we won't be in an election. This is some of the best news I've gotten in a long time.
Not only was I not looking forward to an election as I have enough on my plate, but we received news on Saturday that if there were an election call, our current candidate would not stand for re-election. So, we would have to hit the campaign trail without a candidate. I am not sure that I would want to continue to work on the campaign, or at least not to the same commitment level, for just any candidate. So I could end up just doing the pre-writ work and then stepping away, or I may actually chose to work on the team (which hopefully won't be needed for at least another 8 months).
I've been spending a lot of time since Saturday trying to determine the impact a new candidate will have on my poll analysis. Basically how much of the poll results are the effect of the candidate, and how much are the party. You can't blindly assume that the voters would have voted the same way no matter the candidate, or that they will vote the same way for the new candidate. I could really drive myself nuts with this. Arg, which assumption do I chose to cling to?